UNDP-将分布式可再生能源的金融聚合纳入主流(英)-2024.docx

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1、UnitedNationsDevelopmentProgrammeWhitePaperMainstreamingFinancialAggregationforDistributedRenewableEnergyJanuary2024WhitePaper:MainstreamingFinancialAggregationforDistributedRenewableEnergyUNDPUNDPistheleadingUnitedNationsorganizationfightingtoendtheinjusticeofpoverty,inequality,andclimatechange.Wor

2、kingwithourbroadnetworkofexpertsandpartnersin170countries,wehelpnationsbuildintegrated,lastingsolutionsforpeopleandtheplanet.1.earnmoreatundD.orgorfollowUNDP,TheClimateAggregationPlatform(CAP)TheClimateAggregationPlatformisaGlobalEnvironmentFacility(GEF)fundedflagshipinitiativeofUNDP,whichseekstosup

3、portthestructuringanddeploymentofinnovativebusinessmodelsandfinancialmechanismstoaccelerateenergyaccessandajustenergytransition.Copyright2024.Allrightsreserved.OneUnitedNationsHaza,NewYork,NY10017,USADisclaimer:Theviewsexpressedinthispublicationarethoseoftheauthor(三)anddonotnecessarilyrepresentthose

4、oftheUnitedNations,includingUNDP,ortheUNMemberStates.Coverphoto:UNDP/KarinSchermbruckerSuggestedcitation:UNDP(2024).WhitePaper:MainstreamingFinancialAggregationforDistributedRenewableEnergy,NewYork.TheCAPseekstoadvanceandraiseawarenessforinnovativesolutionstomarketbarriersforfinancialaggregationinth

5、esmall-scale,low-carbonenergysector-withthegoaltoincreaseaccesstolow-costfinancingforcleanenergyinemergingmarkets.1.earnmoreat:https:/WWW.undp.org/climate-aggregation-platformQGEFTheGlobalEnvironmentFacility(GEF)isafamilyoffundsdedicatedtoconfrontingbiodiversityloss,climatechange,pollution,andstrain

6、sonlandandoceanhealth.Itsgrants,blendedfinancing,andpolicysupporthelpdevelopingcountriesaddresstheirbiggestenvironmentalprioritiesandadheretointernationalenvironmentalconventions.Overthepastthreedecades,theGEFhasprovidedmorethan$23billionandmobilized$129billioninco-financingformorethan5,000nationala

7、ndregionalprojects.AcknowledgementsThedevelopmentofthispaperwasfundedbytheGEF,ledbytheUNDPandpreparedbyexpertsfromTFE.TheUNDPtaskteamresponsiblefortheproductionofthisreportwascomposedofEduardoAppleyardandMateoSalomon.TheTFEteamthatwrotethispaperincludesAndreTroost,Dr.SamDubyandKumbiraiMakanza.Thispa

8、perbenefitedgreatlyfromtheinsightsfrom:AlexWanumeandChrisKanani(WinchEnergy),EricdeMoudt(AfricanFrontierCapital),ChristopherAidunandToukamNgoufanke(PersistentEnergy)andAnshulPatel(Bboxx).UlOperationsandserviceagreement8112Datasharingagreement9IDPurchaseandsaleagreement92241.oanagreement1022Keycompon

9、entsofdrefinancialaggregationtermsheets8ContentsIntroduction41.DefiningDREfinancialaggregation52.TermSheetsforDREfinancialaggregation662.1Introductiontotermsheetsll.lConsiderationsaffectingtermsheetdesign3. CasestudiesofpastandpresentDREfinancialaggregationfacilitiesandtransactions113.1 Bboxxdistrib

10、utedenergyassetreceivables$500,000pilotinKenya(2015)113.1.1 Transactionstructure123.1.2 1.ookingtothefuture1232WinchEnergy:$16millionmini-gridportfoliofinance(2021)1331lTransactionstructureI33221.ookingtothefutureI333BrighterlifeKenya2:landmarkoff-balancesheetfacility(2022)14311Transactionstructure1

11、4321.ookingcothefuture154. DFIsandconcessionalfundsinvolvementinDREfinancialaggregation17COnCIUSion19Introduction1.astyearmarkedthehalfwaypointtowardsthe2030deadlineforachievingtheSustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs).WhileconsiderableprogresshasbeenmadetowardstheSDG7targetsoncleanandaffordableenergy,in

12、particularinrelationtoenergyaccess(7.1),675millionpeopleremainwithoutaccesstoelectricityandafurther2.3billionhavenoaccesstocleancookingsolutions.ITradcinjSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport.2023(1.ink)InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency(IRENA).2023.(1.iok)JBasedonInterviewsundertakenintheconcexoftMpper.Base

13、donthecurrentpaceofprogress,effortsmustbesignificantlyrampeduptoachievetheSDGtargetsby2030.What,smore,althoughcleanenergyisacrucialelementofmostNDCs,moreambitioustargetsareneededtokeepusbelowthe1.5threshold?WeneedtogreatlyenhancethelevelofpublicandprivateinvestmentinsolutionssuchasDistributedRenewab

14、leEnergy,toadvancesustainabledevelopmentanddeliverthegoalsoftheParisAgreement.Toachievethis,newapproachesareneededtode-riskinvestmentsandcrowdinnewsourcesofcapital.Financialaggregation,definedinthecontextofthispaperastheaggregationofDistributedRenewableEnergy(DRE)receivables,holdsgreatpromiseinreduc

15、ingthemismatchbetweenDREfundingneedsandinvestorrequirementsandinturnincreasingcapitaldeploymentinthesector.Whendesignedcorrectlyanddeployedinsuitablemarkets,theseinstrumentscanofferfasterandmoreaffordableaccesstocapital.However,financialaggregationinstruments,inparticularoff-balancesheetonesarecompl

16、ex,expensivetosetup(asmuchasUS$2millioninsomeinstances3)andinvolvemanylengthyprocesses-Itcantakeuptotwoyearstocloseatransaction.TheirsuccessfulimplementationdependsonafavourableenablingenvironmentandtheexistenceofasufficientlylargepipelineofDREassetsoftherightcharacteristicsandquality.Atthemoment,on

17、lyahandfulofmarketplayerscanmeetsuchconditionsorareabletoabsorb,ontheirown.theticketsizesrequiredbyinvestorstojustifysuchanundertaking.Therefore,untilveryrecently,therewerefewexamplesoftransactionstrulyshowcasingthepotentialoffinancialaggregationintheDREsector.Furthermore,arecurrentmessagethroughout

18、theextensiveconsultationsthattookplaceinthecontextoftheClimateAggregationPlatformandthedevelopmentofitsFinancialAggregatiOnforDiSCribUtedReneWabIeEnergyreportsSerieSistheneedtoelucidatefinancialaggregationtransactionsthroughreal-lifeexamples.Morespecifically,whiletherehasbeenpioneeringworkdonebylead

19、ingDREcompanies,arrangers,andinvestorstoclosesuchtransactions,thisworkistypicallydoneinsiloes.Asaresult,thereislimitedknowledgedisseminationonhowtostructureandclosesuchtransactions.Thiswhitepaperservesasaninitialattempttoshedlightonthemainingredientsinvolvedinclosingcost-effectiveandscalableDREfinan

20、cialaggregationtransactionsandshareinsightsandlessonsfromreal-lifeexamples.Thepaperseekstoequipinvestors,DREcompaniesandtransactionarrangersinterestedinfinancialaggregationwithknowledgethatcanhelpthembetterunderstandandnavigatethisprocess.TheintentionischatthiscanpavethewayforfurthermainstreamingOff

21、inancialaggregationintheDREsectorandpointtoopportunitiestostreamlineandreducethecostandtimerequiredforsuchtransactions(e.g,throughthesharingofbestpracticesandthedevelopmentofstandardizedagreements).ThepaperwasdevelopedinthecontextoftheClimateAggregationPlatform(CAP),aGlobalEnvironmentFacility(GEF)-f

22、undedprojectimplementedbyUNDP,whichseekstopromotethescale-upoffinancialaggregationforsmall-scale,low-carbonenergyassetsinemergingmarkets.ItbringstogetherinsightsfromdetailedinterviewswithDREcompaniesandarrangersthatwereinvolvedinpasttransactions.ThepaperopenswithabriefexplanationofDREfinancialaggreg

23、ationanditsdifferentmanifestations.Chapter2followswithadetaileddescriptionofDREfinancialaggregationtermsheetsandaconcretecaseoutliningkeyconsiderationsaffectingtheirdesign.Chapter3discussesthekeylessonsemanatingfromthreepioneeringDREfinancialaggregationtransactions,twoofwhichweredoneintheKenyanmarke

24、tandoneinUgandaandSierra1.eone.1.astly,Chapter4touchesontheroleofconcessionalfundsinenablingfinancialaggregationintheDREsector.1. DefiningDREfinancialaggregationSmall-scaleenergyassetscanbeaggregatedintoportfoliostoachievescaleandattractlargerinvestmentticketsizes4inaprocessdefinedasfinancialaggrega

25、tion.Itcantaketheformofsecuritizationoffuturecashflows(accountsreceivables)andtheaggregationoftheseintopoolingstructures,typicallySpecialPurposeVehicles(SPVs).Itcanalsotaketheformofaggregationofprojectsintoportfoliosforprojectfinancepurposes.Securitizationofreceivablesismorecommonlyperformedinproduc

26、t-basedsectors,forexampleSolarHomeSystems(SHSs),whileprojectaggregationismorecommonlydeployedinproject-basedsectors,mainlymini-gridsandcaptivepower.Financialaggregationinitspurestforminvolvescompletetransferalofthesecuritizedassetsintoanoff-balancesheetstructure,suchasanSPV1asFigure2indicates.Thisme

27、ansthattheDREcompany,theoriginatoroftheassets,effectivelysellstheassetstotheSPV.Intheory,thisprocessreducestheriskofthesecuritizedassetsforaninvestorandultimatelythecostofcapitalfortheoriginatorbyeffectivelyseparatingtherisksofsecuritizedassetsfromthatoftheoriginator.Separationofriskalsomeansthatift

28、hecompanywhoinitiallysoldordevelopedtheasset(theoriginator)failsandisliquidated,itwillhavenorecourseovertheassetsheldbytheSPV.Successfulattemptshavebeenmadeinothermarkets,notablyKenya,toemployelementsofpureoff-balancesheetstructuresinwhatwetermquasioff-balancesheettransactions.Intheseinstances,origi

29、natorsselltheirsecuritizedassetstoalimitedliabilitypartnership,whichtheyco-ownwithanentityresponsibleforarrangingthefacility.Theoriginator,asaresult,stillhasrecoursetotheassets.Finally,amorecommonapproachduetotherelativelysmallsizeofthemarket,hasbeentosecuritizeDREreceivables,withoutaggregatingandtr

30、ansferringthemtooff-balancesheetorquasioff-balancesheetstructuresInthecontextoftheCAPFinancialInnovationChallenge.HypoponAfricahasworkedonasyntheticSecuritizadonstructureforsolarhomesystemswherethele2alownershipofassetsismaintainedontheOriginator3side,andnoseparatelegalentityisrequired.Theassetsrema

31、infullyonthebalancesheetofthecompany.Whilenotaggregationperse,thequantificationoffuturecashflowsimprovesthecompany,sinvestorpitchandcanbeusedaspartofthecollateralrequirementsforaloanorastheonlycollateralincaseswheremoreprogressiveinvestorsareinvolved.Dealscanbesmallerastransactioncostsaresignificant

32、lylowerthanoff-balancesheettransactions.Thispaper,however,focusesontransactionsthatinvolvesomedegreeofoff-balancesheetsecuritization.Asset-backedsecuritiesOriginatorsellsDREassets:Projects(Mini-gridsorcaptivepower)Customerreceivables(OGS,mini-grids,captivepowerorEVs)1.inkinoGlobalFinnctoSma4UNDPClim

33、ateBendsInitiative(2022卜1.inkingGlobalFinancetoScullSleCleanEnergy;FinancialAggregationforDestribucedRenewableEMrgyInDeveioptngCountries,NewYork.(Unk)Basicdepictionofanoff-balancesheetsecuritizationtransactionSource:Authorsowndhnim.Untilrecently,instancesofDREtransactionsinvolvingsuchcomplexmechanis

34、mswererare.Infact,onlyahandfulofpureoff-balancesheettransactionshavebeenclosedintheDREsectorinsub-SaharanAfricatodateandthesehavemainlybeenintheOff-gridSolar(OGS)sector(SeeChapter3).Establishedplayersinthissectorarerelativelymatureandarelookingtoleveragethevalueoftheircustomerreceivablestoaccessdebt

35、tofundfurthergrowth.Incontrast,otherDREsectorsarestillatarelativelyearlygrowthstage.Moretraditionalfinancinginstrumentsarestillmostappropriateinthesesectorsatthisstage.TolearnmoreaboutfinancialaggregationpleaseseeUNDP,sandtheClimateBondsInitiativereporton“1.inkingGlobalFinanCet。SmaIlSCaIeCIeanEnergy

36、”.2. TermSheetsforDREfinancialaggregationStructure0n0ffbalancesheetDebtorequitybasedTenureduration DiscreteInvestmentsorrollingcapitalstructure Scalabilityandreplicability RiskmanagementandmitigationImpactassessmentandreportingDataandreportingsystems 1.ongtermsustainabilityFigure2:Mainconsiderations

37、withpossiblepermutationstobecoveredintermsheetsSource:Authorsowndiagram.21IntroductiontotermsheetsAlthoughtheyaretypicallynon-binding,termsheetsserveasthetemplateandbasisforthemoredetailedandlegallybindingdocumentsthatspecifythetermsandconditionsofaninvestmentorbusinesstransaction.Assuch,termsheetsn

38、eedtocarefullydetailthemostimportantstructuralelementsofaninvestment.Aggregationbasedtransactionshaveadditionalcomplexityincomparisontothemorecommonandstraightforwardtransactions,andassociatedtermsheetsneedtoreflectthis.Theshapeanddesignofanaggregationmechanismwilldependonamyriadoffactorsincludingth

39、etypesofassetstobeaggregatedandthelocationoftheseassets.Figure2belowshowssomeofthekeyconsiderationsofanaggregationmechanismandtheelementsthataretypicallycoveredinthesupportingtermsheets.Section2.1.1belowpresentsanexampleofhowthesedifferentconsiderationscanmanifestinpractice.21.1 Considerationsaffect

40、ingtermsheetdesignAsanillustration,thissectiondissectsthekeycharacteristicsofanaggregationfacilitycurrentlybeingdevelopedbyTFEalongthecategoriesoutlinedinFigure2.ThenewfacilityseekstoenableDREdeveloperstoconverttheirmostsignificantasset(theirrightstofutureenergypayments/revenues)intocashimmediately(

41、insteadofslowlyoverthelifetimeofaproject)bysecuritizingtheserevenues.Thefundusesdatastreamsfromcustomerrelationshipmanagementsystems,demographicdatabases,andGISlayerstocategorizeandclustercustomersbasedonfactorsincludingbutnotlimitedtoabsoluteexpectedrevenue,potentialupsideordownsiderisk,paymentrisk

42、,businesstypeorgender.Thefundthenusesitsproprietaryalgorithmstoaccuratelyforecasttheexpectedrevenueofeachclusteroveragiventimeperiod.Followingtheforecasting,thefundseekstoringfencecashflows,factortheexpectedreceivablesandofferlowinterestloanstoDREbusinessesbasedonthestrengthoftheexpectedrevenueofsta

43、ble,highvalueclustersofinterest.ThekeycharacteristicsofthefundwhichwillhaveimplicationsfortermsheetdesignaredefinedbyTFEasfollows:Assets Mini-gridandCommercialandIndustrial(C&l)receivables.Theserefertoanyfuturecashflows.Inthecaseofmini-gridsfuturecashflowsaretypicallystructuredasflatfeespaidbycustom

44、ersatregularintervalsorvariableconsumption-basedpaymentsataspecifiedtariffstipulatedinthecustomercontract.C&lcashflowsaretypicallystructuredsimilarly-customerscanalsopayflatfeesatregularintervals,whileconsumption-basedpaymentsareprovidedforinpowerpurchaseagreements(PPAs).PPAscaneitherbestructuredona

45、takeorpay“basiswhereallenergygeneratedbythesystemmustbepaidforbythecustomeror.alternatively,onthebasisthatthecustomeronlypaysforwhattheyconsume.DREsectorspecificThefundrefinancesexistingprojectsfromlicenseddevelopers; Thefundcanbecomefinanciallyprofitableataminimumsizeof$10million; Earlyinvestorsare

46、impactfocusedwithafocusontargetsub-SaharanAfrican(SSA)countriesincludingNigeriawherethefacilityislaunchingfirst; ThefacilityhasreceivedextensiveadvicefromlocalcounselinNigeriatomakesurethatthemechanismiscompliantwithalllocalregulationsandistaxefficient; Thefacilityworkswithdeveloperswhoowntheassets.

47、Byrefinancingthereceivablesstreamsonly,noassetownershiptransferisrequired: Refinancingexistingassetsmeansthatthefacilityislessexposedtotheavailabilityoflocalfinance.Receivables Everyasset,underconsiderationforthefundmusthaveareliabledatafeed.Thesecanbethevariablepaymentsfromindividualsmartmetersonam

48、ini-gridorfixed,performancebasedpaymentsfromaC&lPPA; Thefacilityusesdatastreamsfromindividualcustomersmartmeters,demographicdatabases,andGISlayerstocategorizeandclustercustomersbasedonfactorsincludingbutnotlimitedtoabsoluteexpectedrevenue,potentialupsideordownsiderisk,paymentrisk,businesstypeorgender; Thedataprovidestransparencyaswellasallreportingandthird-partyverificationfunctionality; Usingthisdata,thefacilityseekstotoaggregateandrefinanceindividualmini-gridcustomerconnectionsaswellasentireC&lprojects.1.egalandregulatoryForthespecificcontextofN

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