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1、没错记住So,yeah,uh,rememberthat本周的流体力学课改至周五上午十点thefluiddynamicsclasshasbeenmovedthisweektofridayat10:00.不是平时的时间So,itsnotatitsnormaltime.好的那时见Okay,seeyouthen.再见Bye-bye.CharlieCharlie.哦抱歉没想要吓你0h,msorry.Ididntmeanostartleyou.Rachel?Rachel?是我嘿CharlieYeah.Hi,charlie.你-你在这做什么？What-whatareyoudoinghere?你不是该在斯坦福
2、做地球空间项目？ArentyousupposedtobedoingthatgeospatialprojectoveratStanford?不我No,I.这是近来和我共事的人员名单thisisalistofnamesofpeopleIknow,thatveworkedwithrecently.三个人死了Threeofthemarenowdead.你说他们死了？Didyousaydead?是的我想他们发现了不该知道的东西Yeah.Ithinktheyfoundoutsomethingtheywerentsupposedtoknow.他们被杀了虽然表面上并非如此Theywerekilled,even
3、tughitdoesn,tlooklikeit.我想他们也会杀了我AndIthinktheyregngtokillmeaswell.他们怎么死的Rachel?Howdideydie,rachel?一言难尽听着我不能It,scomplicated.Look,IcanT.我不能在这解释现在不行Icantexplainitrighthere.Not.notnow.你报♥警♥了吗？-不行不行我不信任他们Haveyougonetohepolice?-No,no,no,Icanttrustthem.但你信任我？Butyoucantrustme?我了解你Iknowyou.你是表里
4、如一不说假话的人Iknowyourewhoyousayyouare.如果你带我找你哥哥我就相信他是你哥哥Ifyoutakemetoyobrother,Illbelievehesyourbrother.好吧Allright明天我带你去见我哥哥DOn他在FBI工作lltakeyoutoseemybrotherdon,tomorrow,atthefbi.谢谢Thankyou.明早我在这里和你碰头llmeetyouhereinthemorning.我会带文件来还有拜托看看这些名字AndIllbringdocumentation,just,please4ookatthosenames.他们不该死但他们的
5、确死了Theyshouldntbedead,buttheyare.Rachel.Rael.一桩阴谋嗯哼？aconspiracy,huh?我猜如此我是说RachelLawton总是会惹点事情的你知道么？Iguessso,Imean,withthiswonrachellawton,itsalwaysSomething,youknow?她很古怪？Wackyjsshe?有一点Uh,maybealittleyeah.读研的时候她总有些稀奇古怪的念头Shewasintotheseoddideasingradschool.比方说1.ikeforinstance,uh,她声称某些顶级科学家实际是被派来帮助人类
6、的外星人sheonceposedthatcertaintopscientistswereactuallyalienssentheretohelpmankind.她可能认识LarrySheprobablyknewlarry.Rachel就是这样Thatsthethingaboutrachel,她总是异想天开跟她在一起很有意思shewasalwaysquiteabrilliantthinkerandshewasusuallyalotoffuntohangoutwith.哦她什么专业的？So,uh,what,sherfield?她是统计学家-专攻人口统计Shesastatisticianspecia
7、lizingindemography.有些惊天阴谋Therearesomecrazyconspiracies,youknow.有时会被一名聪明疯狂的思想者发现Sometimesittakesabrilliant,nuttythinkertospotone.唯一的麻烦是通常没人相信这种人Theonlytroubleis,usuallythekindofpeoplenobodybelieves.死者心脏病发Subjectsufferedacardiacarrest.是大剂量服用退热净氢可酮和酒精的后果Aresultofamassiveabsorptionofacetaminophen,hydroc
8、odoneandalcohol.初步发现是死者姓名为RachelLawtonMypreliminaryfindingisrachellawton死于非事故性过量服用处方药diedofanon-accidentalovdoseofprescriptionmedication.非常感谢Hey,thanksverymuch.你还好吗？Allright?她很恐惧沮丧有点失常Shewasscared,upset,andmaybealittleerratic,但是不像会自杀but,uh,shedidntseemsuicidal.我有点背景资料1.ook,Igotaquickbackgroundhere.我
9、是说两年来她一直接受心理治疗Imean,youknow,shewasgoingtotherapistfortwoyears.什么原因？Forwhat?情绪抑郁Fordepression.人事记录表明Theemploymentecordsshowshe,她有过多次情绪发作情绪不稳定等你知道shehademotionaloutbursts,questionablestability,youknow.那么这样就了结了？so,thats,thatstheendofitthen?不我们会做基本的后续调查No,Imean,welldobasicfollow-up,但是不见得会有进展but,Imeanjdo
10、n,tthinkitsgoinganywhere.走吧我们离开这Comeon,let,sgetoutofhere.数字追凶第三集第18集嗨CharlieHey,charlie.OswaldOswald.谢谢你过来Thanksforstoppingby.我说别谢了Imean,dontthankmeet.我以为你要和我谈谈注册之类Ifiguredyouwantedtotalkmemoreaboutenrollingorwhatever.为你这样的人准备的Yeah.专门的项目Specializedprogram.疯狂迷恋棒球的高中辍学生？Forpeoplelikeyou.Highschooldrop
11、outsthatareobsessedwithfantasybaseball?缺少传统教育的天才人士Giftedpeoplewholacktraditionaleducations.这个说法不错Thatsanicewayofputtingit.可是Charlie我不像其他的calsci学生But,charlie,mjustnotacalsciguy.我考试总是一塌糊涂mhorribleattests.垫底的货色1.ike,theworst.我没法跟教授说话Icanttalktoprofessors.你和我说话了Youtalktome.对可我们是在棒球场上认识的Yeah,butweetoverb
12、aseballstats.那是我唯一知道的东西Th,stheonethingIknow.Oswald经过培训伙计Oswald,withsometraining,manf你能在任何你选择的领域中游刃有余you,youreallycouldworkinanyfieldyouwantedto.这是什么？Whatisthis?千万分之一？Tenmilliontoone?这是一个女人和她三名同事在两周内全部死亡的可能性Itsheoddsofawomanandthreepeoplesheworkedwithdyinginatwoweekperiod.我认识她Iknewher.今早在停尸房♥我
13、认的尸Iidentifiedherbodthismorningatthemorgue.哦CharIie太可怕了Oh,charlie,thatsawful.我很遗憾msorry.她声称这些人因为知道了些东西而遇害Sheclaimedthatthesepeoplewerekilledbecauseofsomethingtheyknew.那这个没经核实的家伙呢？Whataboutthisguythatsnotcheckedoff?我想还活着Stillalive,Iguess.柏克莱社会科学系Burkepoliticalsciencedepartment.喂呃.Hello.Uh.我找RobertRey
14、nolds博士我mtryingtoreachdr.Robertmolds.I,um.很抱歉Reynolds博士不与我们同在了msorry.Dr.ReynoldsisnoIgerwithus.你是他的朋友还是家人？Areyouafriendorafamilymember?没事了Thatsokay.谢谢Thankyou.Charlie两周内五人死亡的几率有多大？Charlie,whataretheoddsthatthesefivepeoplewoulddieinatwoweekperiod?7亿分之一About700milliontoone.就是说Rachel告诉我的是事实Whichmeansra
15、chelwastellingmethetruth.五个人年龄都在20多岁至40岁Sofivepeopleallmid-20sto40s.身体健康都在两周内死亡Allingoodhealth,andalldeadwithintwoweeks.DavidDavid.TeresaKing计算机科学家Tereking,computerscientistRebeccaOrtega和SamChambers统计学家Rebeccaortega,sachambersstatisticians.RobertReynoIdS社会政♥治♥学家死者之间关系未知Androbertreynold
16、s,politicalscientisnoknownconnections.心脏病哮喘-可由药物模仿症状Heartattack,asthma-conditionsthatcanbemimickedbydrugs.对也有经典案例Yeah,wealsohavetheclassicshere.浴缸内滑倒车祸自主性药物过量Slippedinthebathtub,caraccident,self-administereddrugoverse.给RachelLawton再做次尸检如何？Whataboutdoingasecondautopsyonrachellawton?我们已经要求了Yeah,welrea
17、dyrequestedit.如果Charlie错了这只是5例普通死亡呢？Andifcharlieswrong,andthesearefiverandomdeaths?所有我们得找到证据Well,thatswhywegottofindsomethingsolid.否则我可不想在这浪费时间Otherwise,!mean,youknow,Idontwanttowasteourtimehere.嗨Hey.我要失去你了吗？amIIosingyou?什么？Pardon?华盛顿打来的电♥话♥备忘录关于司法部的特别派遣？Somememocamefromdeaboutaspecial
18、detachmenttheD.O.J.?不呃.No,uh.他们打电♥话♥来我说可能不是找我的theycalledandIsaiditprobablyisn,tforme.可能Probably.不是isn,T.好吧Okay.嗨我找到几份有RachelLawton文章的杂♥志♥HeyJfoundsomemorejournalswitharticlesbyrachellawton.哦谢谢Oh,thankyou.知道她现在在研究什么吗？Yeahanyideawhatshe,scurrentlyworkingon?不不知道No,notyet.她发表
19、了很多论文各领域都有Shepublishedalot,onvarietyoftopics.我在圣地亚哥教书时她出席过一次研讨会Youknow,she,shecametoaseminarthatItaughtinsandiego.真的？-嗯Really?-Yeah.她是个聪明姑娘很有创造性思维Shewasabrightgirl,youknow,creativethinker.真可惜Itsjustashame.真可惜Youow,it,sjustashame.谁杀r统计学家？Whokillsastatistician?我们的统计学家之一有次受到威胁Youknow,oneofourstatsguysg
20、otadeatthreatonce.在水权案中做了专业证供Yeahfordoingexperttestimonyinawaterrightscase.不是那让你的特殊录取生惹上麻烦的吧？那个棒球统计学家Isntthatwhatgotyourspecialadmissionscandidateguyintotrouble-baseballstats,huh?是啊Yeah.事实上他可能不会申请Actuallyhemaynotbeapplying.他害怕自己无法掌握He,sscaredthathemaynotbeabletohandleit.哈我们都这公过来的不是吗？Well,we,veallbee
21、nthere,huh?可能只除了你Exceptformaybeyou.当我们的学生缺少自信Youknow,whenwehavestudentswholackconfidence,有时我们让他们对某个问题产生兴趣SOtimeswegettheminterestedinareallygoodproblem.让他们入迷就会忘记恐惧Youknow,justgetthemobsessed,andthentheforgetthattheyreafraid.这孩子喜欢什么？1.ikewhatsthisguyinto?女孩子Girls.滑板Skateboarding.棒球Baseball.统计学Statist
22、ics.知道吗你的小花招破坏了那条定律Youknow,youjustbrokethelawwiththatlittletrick.角动量守恒定律ThelawofConrvationofangularmomentum.怎公牛顿先生要来抓我吗？Wait,isthatsirisaacnewtongoingtocomeandbustme?Charlie你不会想说服我上大学吧？Charlie,yourenotgonnahardsellmeonthiscollegething,areyou?不实际上我No.Actually,I,uh.我需要你的帮助Ikindofneedyourhelp.我们搜查Rache
23、lLawton死时住的旅馆房♥间Wesearchedthehotelroomwhererachellawtondied没有找到任何她对Charlie说的文件butwedidtfindanyofthedocumentationshetoldcharlieabout.现在必须研究她死时身上的物品Nowwehavetogothroughwhatshehadonherwhenshedied.都在这了Well,thatseverything,so.就这些了呃？Thisisit,huh?伙计找找包里的钢笔Hey,man,checkebagforpens.钢笔?为什么？Pens?Whatfor
24、?你没拿到关于商业间谍的备忘录？Youdidntgetthatmemooncorporateespionage?制♥作&hearts钢笔时他们会内置光驱Yeah,theymakepenswheretheyputtheflashdriveontheinside.光驱还能放在别的地方吗？Well,whelsecantheyputflashdrivesin?钥匙链橡皮鸭Keychains,rubberduckies.橡皮鸭光驱？Rubberduckyflashdrive?我也想要一个Iwantoneofthosyeah.手表呢？How,boutawatch?是关于那五人命案对吧？Thi
25、sisaboutthosefivepeoplethatdied,isn,tit?OSWakI他们一定知道了什么才被杀人灭口Well,Oswald,theymusthaveknownsomethingorkilledtokeepitasecret.这个麻烦现在危险rThisproblem,sbecongabitdangerous.这样说我已经被枪击一次了Thatbeingsaid,Ihavealreadbeenshotatonce.哦嗨Oh,hey.嗨教授Hey,professor.非常准时Perfecttiming.DaviOswaldDaviOswald.很高兴见到你Goodtoseeyou
26、.嘿Fellas.也许我该出去会maybeIshouldstepout.知道吗？如果FBI同意Uh,youknowwhat?Ifit,sallrightwiththefbi,我想利用Kittner先生的统计分&hearts淅♥能力协助这个案子Iwouldlovetoutilizemr.Kittner,sstatisticalanalysisskillsonthiscase.Kittner先生？Mr.Kittner?你们发现什么了？Sowhatdoyguysgot?一块手表Youvegotawatch.是RachelLawton的表Itsrachellawton,S.啊没错一个光驱
27、Ah,yeah,saflashdrive.这里Here.打开这里你需要的就是一根USB线Yeah,youjustopenthisandallyouneedisausbcable.USBUsb.不错Perfect.插♥进♥去Plugthatinthere.那头插上电脑Thatplugsdirectlyintoyourcomputer.这我知道ThatIdoknowabout.是某种统计的原始数据我不确定和什么有关Thisissosortofstatisticalrawdata,pertainingtowhat,mnotexactlysure.Oswald?Oswald
28、?我不知道这些标题什么意思Ihavenoideawhatthoseheadingsmean.会很麻烦Thisisgoingtobetough.最好的问题总是麻烦的Thebestproblemsalwaysare.RachelLawton与其他死者的联♥系♥之一Oneconnectiontweenrachellawtonandtheotherdeadpeople-是他们都从事统计分♥析♥工作theyallworkedinstatisticalanalysis.统计学家通常都是自♥由♥职业Andstatistici
29、ansusuallyworkfreelance从一个项目到另一个项目theygofromprojecttoproject.受雇于公♥司♥政♥府♥政党Hiredbycorporations,governments,politicalcampaigns.那五人中有三个有确切的联♥系♥Ifoundamorespecificconnectiontothreeoutoffiveofthem.J.EverettTuttIe那个亿万富翁？J.Everetttuttle.Thebillionaire?没错他是树篱基金会经理投身
30、于慈善事业和政♥治♥活动Yeah,hesahedgefundmager,hesintophilanthropyandpolitics.Rachel名单上的三个人为他的一家公♥司♥工作Threeofthepeopleonrachel,slistworkedforoneofhiscompanies.那可不多Thatsnotmuch.我指的是金融大亨雇佣统计学家Imean,afinancialwizhiringstatisticians.这些“不多”可是目前我们掌握的唯一信息Notmuchisallwehave.我做完了Rachellawton
31、的法医解剖Ifinishedtheforensicautopsyonrachellawton.二次尸解的想法实在高明Itwassmarttorequestasecondone.怎么了?找到什么了？Why?Whatdoyougot?显然杀她的人缺乏耐心Apparently,herkillerdidnthavealotofpatience.虽然她体内有致命剂量的酒精和止疼药Althoughshehadapotentiallylethaldoseofalcoholandpainkillersinher,RachelLawton死于窒息rachellawtondieofasphyxiation.怎么说
32、？How?肺部有棉纤维Shehadtracesofcottonfiberinherlungs,似乎是昏迷后用枕头或毛巾将她闷死likelysuocatedfromapillowortowelaftershewasunconscious.诸如此类因为现场没有可疑情形因此被忽略了Sortofthinthat,intheabsenceOfsuspiciouscircumstances,mightbemissed.所以现在我们手头不是5桩普通死亡案Sowe,renottalkingaboutfiverandomdeaths,已经有一桩证实为谋杀wevedefinitelyhaveonemurderon
33、ourhands.要对其他死者进行法医解剖Weregonnaneedforensicautopsiesontheothervictims.开工吧1.lgetitstarted.没准就是5桩谋杀案Mightbelookingatfivemurders.没错Yeah.我们却不知所为何事Butwehavenoideawhattheyreabout.五起死亡案只有一例证明是谋杀Fivedeaths,butsofaryoucanonlyproveonewasmurder.数学上这些死亡案件不可能是巧合Itsmathematicallyimobablethatthesedeathsarecoinciden
34、ce.要立案的话需要动机Well,tomakeacase,weneedamotive.和目击证人Andlivewitnesses.你说三名死者为J.EverettTuttle做咨♥询♥工作？YousaythreeoftheeaddidconsultingworkforJ.Everetttuttle?对你知道他多少？Right,andwhatdoyouknowabouthim?他可是华尔街行事肮脏的典范Gotarepforplayingdirtyonwallstreet.SEC调查过他一无所获Secmadearunathim,gotnowhere.纽约法官控告他诈骗T
35、henewyorkagindictedhimonfraud,但两名证人失踪buttwoofthewitnessesdisappeared,无法立案andcouldntmakeacase.证人失踪？Witnessesdisappeared?一名后来在希腊找到了Onewaslaterfoundingreece.另一名再没出现过Theotherneverturnedup.你觉得他会谋杀么？Youthinkhescapableofmurder?纽约那边是这么认为可是没有证据Theythinksoinnewyork,buttheyhadnoevidence.伙计们动身去Tuttle那了看看他们会发现什么
36、好吗？Eguysareofftoseetuttle,letsseewhattheycomeupwith,allright?这可是锻炼心脏的好方法It,sagreatcardioworkout.也是弄到柴火的好方法Greatwaytogetsomefirewood,too.没错Yeah.最后会剩下有用的东西Well,youenupwithsomethinguseful.而在运动器械上锻炼最后一无所获Sitonthoseexercisemachines,yougotnothingwhenyouredone.我能为FBI效劳吗？So,howcanihelpthefbi?我们想和你谈谈你曾经的三名员工
37、Wereheretotalktoyouaboutthreepeoplewhousedtoworkforyou.我来看看1.etssee.SamChambers为我做调研Well,samchambersdidresearchforme.不认识其他两人Idontknowtheothertwo.他们也是调查人Theywereresearchersaswell.我雇了很多咨♥询♥师Ihirealotofconsultants.并不全部亲自见面Idontmeetthemallinperson.这三人在最近几个星期都死了Well,thesethreealldiedwithint
38、helastfewweek很遗憾msorrytohearthat.你雇佣他们做什么？Whatweretheyhiredtodoforyou?我不确定mnotsure.让我查一下行吗？1.etslookintothat,shallwe?马上回来llgetbacktoyou.Tuttle先生你认识RachelLawton?Mr.Tuttle,doyouknowarachellawton?没有印象Doesntsoundfamiliar.你做什么生意？Whatbusessdoyouactuallydo?我一年前退休了Iretiredayearago.哦我管理树篱基金Well.Imanageahedge
39、fund,为公♥司♥董事会服务serveoncorporateboards.努力多花点时间做公共服务事业Trytoputmoretimeintopublicservice,thatsortofthing.你为什么雇佣统计学家和计算机科学家？Andwhydoyouemplostatisticiansandcomputerscientists?检测政♥权♥体系TotestStocmarketsystems.看我依然梦想找到一夜暴富的魔法See,mstilldreamingaboutfindingthatmagicformulaforstrik
40、ingitrich.有人说你已经找到了Somepeoplewouldsayyouvealreadyfoundit.从一个人那赚钱可不够Takeitfromaguywithmorethanenough,远远不够itaintneverenough.看来这个小OSWaId紧紧咬住了FBI的鱼钩？So,itlookslikethisOswaldkidtprettyhardonthefbihook,huh?对对不他真的很用心可是依然不愿申请CalsciYeah,yeah,no,hesreallyintoit,buthestillwontapplytocalsci.他不太能掌握所有他能在这里掌握的东西He
41、doesntquitegraspallthethingshecouldaccomplishhere.我不知道怎样说服他AndIjustdontknowhowtogetthatacrosstohim.那是因为你的生活只有数学和科学你的学生也是这样Well,thatsbecauseyourwholelifeismathandscience,samewithyourstudents.要是你在教堂长大你就会对信徒布道1mean,what,youwereraisedinthechurchhereandyoupreachtotheconverted.找个方法该信无神论吧Justhavetofigureou
42、tawaytoconverttheheathen.哦他来了Yeah,welherehecomes.OswaldOswald.嗨CharlieHey,charlie.说曹操曹操到啊Speaofthedevil.Rachel的数据有点问题Theressomethingoffaboutrachel,snumbers.嗨-嗨Hithere.-Hi,hi.继续说Goahead.我按你说的做了Ididwhatyousaid.我把数字都打了出来不加标题寻找模式1printedthemoutwithoutheadingstosearchforpatterns.没发现任何模式Didntfindanypatter
43、ns,但她的数据明显有点问题buttheresdefinitelysomethingoffabouthernumbers.我无法识别知道吗？Ijustcantputmyfingeronit,youknow?让我们看看1.etustakealookatit.给你Hereyougo.Oswald这是份很好的观察报告Thatsaverygoodobservation,Oswald因为有太多的7becausetherearetoomanysevens.和3Andthrees.太多了会怎样？Toomanyforwhat?太多了因而不是偶然的数据-对Toomanyforthislisttoberandom
44、.-Yeah.由于某些原因当人们用数字做报告时Forsomereason,whenpeoplemakeupreportswithnumbersinthem,总是放入太多的7和3theyalwaysputinwaytoomanythreesandsevens而1和2就很少andnotenoughonesandtwos.要是我的话会用4Me,Ithinkdusetoomanyfours.我的意思是这样的话你无法知道这些数字要表达什么Imean,thisway,youcannotknowwhatthenumbersdescribe,但你能分辨出是否有人在说谎butyoucantellifsomeon
45、e,slying.这说明我得回去工作了Andonthatnote,Ihavetogotowork.再见Millie-很高兴见到你-我也是Bye-bye,millie.-Nicetomeety.-You,too.谢谢Thankyou.她很讨人喜欢她是谁啊？Shewaspleasant.Whosthat?MildredFinch博士Thatsdr.Mildredfinch.数理天文系主任Shesthechairofourmath,physicsandastronomydivision.真的？Really?她很容易交谈Sheseasytotalkto.的确如此Yeah,sheis,alittlebit那么我们怎么知道这是什么呢？So,anyway,howdowefigureoutwhatthisis?有办法分♥析♥未分类的数据Well,wehaveapplicationsthatcanhelpanalyzeunlabe
