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1、1狙击手3步♥枪♥4死亡4枪击确认他身份了？WehaveanIDonthisone?MarkHerlan39岁MarkHerlan,39.一支中口径来♥复♥枪♥击在胸部Asinglemedium-caliberrifleroundtothechest.有目击者吗？Anywitnesses?夫人在打理花♥园♥带着孩子1.adygardening,momwithherkid.两人都没听到枪声Neitheroneheardtheshot.我带些人检杳一下周围mpullingsomeuniformstoc
2、anvasstheneighborhood,看看能否确定射击的位置toseeifwecangetalockonwheretheshotcamefrom.我认为没有这个必要Idontthinkthat,sgoingtobenecessary.这些数据Thesenumbers.伤口尺寸子弹进入的角度sizeofthewound,angleofentry,尸体的位置positionofthebody.已经告诉我们了一切theyalreadytellyouwhatyouneedtoknow.看弹道轨迹很明了See,ballistictrajectoriesarefundamentallysimple.
3、它们是两个自然力的结果：Theyretheresultofonlytwophysicalforces:重力以及水平速度verticalandhorizontalvelocity.精确计算轨道Calculatingtrajectorieswithprecision需要引进很多变量：requirestakingintoaccountmanyvariables:风速风向windspeedanddirection,气压温度湿度atmosphericpressure,temperature,humidity,枪管倾度发射密度inclinationofgun,densityoftheprojectile.
4、基于子弹进入的角度风速已及风向Sovedonesomeroughcalculationsoftrajectorymodelsbasedonthebulletsangleofimpact,我粗略的计算出弹道轨迹windspeedanddirection.我估计射手就在这里开枪的Iapproximatethatoursniperfiredfromrightaroundhere.这一点看见没？-嗯-哼Thisspothere.See?-Uh-huh.实际上是在这儿Actually,itwasmorelikehere.嗨Edgerton特工Ah,AgentEdgerton.Bureau告诉你我要来？B
5、ureautoldyouIwascoming?啊是我让你来的Yeah.mtheonewhorequestedyou.谢谢你赶过来Thanksforcoming.他是Quantico来的射击教练He,sasniperinstructorfromQuantico.我们需要不同的观点Neededadifferentperspective.为什么是在你这里开枪的？Whatmakesyouthinkhefiredfromyourlocation?得出你的位置得假设他是一个非常好的射手Well,yourlocationassumeshesagoodshot我认为他是一个一般的射手不过运气不错Isayhes
6、justanokayshotwhogotlucky.你得假设又是依据什么经验性证据呢？Whatkindofempiricalevidenceareyoubasingthatassumptionon?300码夕卜的射击300-yardplink,他要瞄准躯体射击andhegoesforcentermass,torsoshot.好的射手不会离这么近的Goodsniperbotherstogetthisclose,人行道会分散人的注意力itstospreadamansbrainsacrossthesidewalk.哦是的还有Oh,yeah,and,uh,还有这个theresthis,too.看这些草
7、被射击灼烧的方式？Seehowthegrassisburnedfromthemuzzleflash?泥土里有方格织物？Thiswafflinginthedirt?是的看起来他拿什么支撑一下是吧？Right.Likeheusedsomethingforsupport,right?是我想可能是毯子或者夹克Yeah,mthinkingaduffelorhisjacket.不过你猜得也不错Butyourswasagoodguess,too.不是猬的是我的估算Wasntaguess;itwasmoreofanestimate.还有别的吗？Anythingelse?有他还会再作的Yeah,hesgonna
8、doitagain.你怎么知道？Howdoyouknowthat?射手的感觉？Thingaboutsnipers?我们喜欢Weloveit.这也不是猫测而是事实Andthatsnotaguess,eitherjitsafact.我们每天都用到数学.Weallusematheveryday.预报天气toforecastweather.报时totelltime.管理资产tohandlemoney.数学不仅仅是公式和方程式mathismorethanformulasandequations.有逻辑的Itslogic.有理性的It,srationality.我们可以处理很多神秘的事物Itsusingy
9、ourmindtosolvethebiggestmysteriesweknow.注意了大家听好了.Okay,letmehaveyourattention,please.,Listenup.1.APD（洛杉矶警局）将同时进行此任务我们分享所有信息1.APDisrunningaparalleltaskforcewithfullinformationsharing.因此不要无凭据的猜测好吧？Sonotheorygoesunchecked,right?不要放过任何提示Notipignored.四个谋杀Fourkillings.它们的共同点是：Whattheyhaveincommon:中口径来&hear
10、ts;复&hearts枪♥从200码或更远的地方射击都是一枪毙命singleshotsfiredfrommid-caliberriflesatadistanceof200yardsorgreater.不同点是受害人Whattheydonthaveincommonarethevictims.有一个房♥地♥产♥经纪人一个家庭主妇Wehaveareal-estatebrokeahousewife,一个中学生和一个邮差ahighschoolstudentandamailman.作案地点在变Nowthelocationsvary,时间在变theti
11、mesofdayvary.大家-弹道测试确认子弹来自四把不同的来♥复♥枪♥Every.-Ballisticsconfirmsthatthefourbulletscamefromfourdifferentrifles.四击四中Fourshots,fourkills.这种技术说明可能有军事背景thatkindofskillsuggestsapossiblemilitarybackground.这只能说明他知道自己的局限并且保持在范围内Whatitsuggestsisthatheknowshislimitationsenoughtoremainwithint
12、hem.这是来自Quantico的Edgerton特工ThisisSpecialAgentEdgertonfromQuantico,他认为射手的技术不是那么好andhedoesntthinkourshooterisespeciallyskilled.那位主妇是被口径为7.62x39的子弹击中Yourhousewifetherecaughta7.62x39round.他不可能以低于100美元的价格买♥♥到俄♥国&hearts产的SKS来做HecouldvefoundaRussianSKStodothatjobforlessthanahundredbuck
13、s.也许他用的是BlaserR93OrmaybehesusingaBlaserR93;那种武器可以换17种口径的枪管thatparticularweaponhasinterchangeablebarrelsin17differentcalibers.因此他可能卷次行凶后更换枪管Sohecouldbeswappingbarrelsaftereverykill,同时也会改变弹道轨迹？whichwouldchangetheballisticfingerprint,right?耍了一个漂亮的诡计避免卷入所有谋杀Beaprettycheapwaytoavoidbeinglinkedtoallofyour
14、murders.1.APD找到一个出租车司机1.APDcanvassturnedupaFedExdriver.他记得在案发时看见辆绿色吉普停了进来HeremembersseeingagreenJeepparkedinthefieldaroundthetimeoftheshooting.显然不同厂家生产的同口径子弹Apparentlythereslargeperformancedifferentials性能有很大的不同betweensame-caliberbulletsfromdifferentmanufacturers.基于什么？Basedonwhat?组成成分火♥药&heart
15、s;包装1.eadcomposition,gunpowderpacking.正是我需要的：更多的变量9600:05:42,300-00:05:43,000哦JustwhatIneed:morevariables.帮我处理黄铜腐蚀的洛伦茨不变式？SomeassistanceinmybrazenattackontheLorenzinvariance?不是是阻力系数的模拟No,dragcoefficientmodels.阻力系什么的阻力？Dragco.dragonwhat?子弹Bullets.子弹的弹道轨迹是通过爱因斯坦的等效原则确定的Bulletsasinballistictrajectories
16、definedbytheEinsteinEquivalencePrinciple,根据洛伦茨矩阵？relatedtotheLorenzframe?是啊杀人的子弹Asin,bulletsthatkillpeople.哦Oh.专家们的意见似乎有些分歧Thereseemstobesomedisagreementsoverthesnipersexpertise.在这个问题上政♥府♥应当果断些dsaythepublic,sdecidedonthequestion.我一个阿姨住在第一次枪击现场附近两个街区Ihaveanauntwholivestwoblocksfromthefi
17、rstshooting.她现在都不敢去草坪了Shesafraidtogooutonherfrontlawnnow.你为什么不告诉她在统计学上她被熊打伤的机会更大呢Whydontyoutellyourauntthatstatisticallyshehasabetterchanceofbeingmauledbyabear.实际上统计学更倾向于她打伤熊但ActuallyfStatisticswouldfavorthebearbeingmauledbymyaunt,but.这种恐惧超越了统计学的研究范畴CharlesThisfear,thisextendsbeyondthereachofstatist
18、ics,Charles.不这是关于随机的却不可避免的死亡No,thisisaboutarbitrary,inescapabledeath.一次又一次No,timeslikethese,你只是在考虑一些不可能的事youjustwindupspeculatingonpathsnottaken,工作都不做了jobsleftundone.1.arry我1.arry,I.我会帮你完成那些方程式的mtryingtogetthoseequationsdoneforyou只要我不别说了assoonasIcan.-No,no,no.目前我考虑的更多是我的遗产问题Atthatmoment,Iwasactually
19、thinkingofafarmoreprosaiclegacy.谁来继承Fleinhardt家族SomeonetocarryontheFleinhardtstandard.我还不知道你想要孩子了LalTyIdidntknowyouwantedkids,Larry.噢孩子就像虫洞Well.childrenarewormholes.虫洞？Wormholes?是啊Yeah.他们是过去和将来的人口Theyreportalsintotheunreachablefutureandunattainablepast.不就目前来看No,asthingsstandnow,他们只存在于理论上因此theyexisto
20、nlyinthetheoreticalrealm,so.哦看得出来你同一位女士说“带着你的虫洞”会遇到多少麻烦Well,Icanseewhereyoumighthavesometroublesellingawomanontheideaofcarryingyourwormhole.我访问了邮差案件方圆10个街区的交通摄像机Iaccessedtrafficcamerasforaten-blockradiuswherethemailmangothit.很好-发现这个Good.-Foundthis.看一看Takealook.吉普是一个叫WayneOsborne的人注册的Jeepisregistered
21、tooneWayneOsborne.登记表显示他在返回IdahoRapsheetgoesbacktoIdaho.攻击他人私藏♥毒♥品违反武器条例Assault,drugpossession,weaponsviolations.好的直查这个Yeah,checkthisout.属F一个绿色闪电宣称白人自上的组织AffiliationswiththeGreenLightningwhitesupremacistgroup.他们在ATF的非法武器交易的监视名单上TheyreontheATFwatchlistforillegalarmsdealings.好的OSbOUrne先生
22、似乎有很大嫌疑Yeah,Mr.Osbournesoundslikeagoodcandidate.FBI!有搜查证！FBI!Warrant!FBI!FBI!手放桌子上！Handsonthetable!FBI!FBI!手放桌子上！Handsonthetable!安全！Clear!后屋安全了Clearbackhere.安全了！-他不在这儿DonClearhere!-Hesnothere,Don.知道了OSborne在哪儿？Allright,where,sOsborne?出去了去哪儿了？Out.-Outwhere?朋友那里我不清楚Somefriends.Idontknow.好的我告诉你1.ook,le
23、tmetellyousomething.如果你不想看着你男朋友被判死刑Ifyoudontwanttofacethedeathpenaltywithyourboyfriend,你最好仔细地想想youbetterthinkharderandthinkfast.他两小时前开我小卡车走了Hetookmypick-upabouttwohoursago.我发誓我不知道他去哪儿ButIswear,Idontknowwherehewent.车是什么颜色的？-蓝色Whatcolorsthepick-up?-Itsblue.准备好车Gettheplates.通知LAPD及每一个特工NotifyLAPDandeve
24、ryagency.估计他已出门寻找下一个目标Myguessishesouttheretrollingformorevictims.Don看看这个Don.Takealook.天哪是他Oh,yeah.你知道StanCarter现在在洛杉矶的公园部工作Youknow,StanCartersworkingfortheLAParksDepartmentnow.噢是的我记得他Oh,yeah,Irememberhim.Stan那个男的Stan.StantheMan.他曾同你一起在城市规划委员会工作是吗？Heusedtoworkwithyouonthecityplanningboard,right?是的-对Y
25、eah.-Yeah.他在找一个兼♥职♥顾问Heslookingforapart-timeconsultant.既然你们两个一直都不稳定Andsinceyoutwoareinandoutallthetime,我想我IfiguredI.稍等一下Holdonasecond.你好？Hello?好吧Okay.好的嗯Allright,yeah.马上到llberightthere.当然Sure.他们确定射手出现了Theyreprettysureitsthesniperagain.David来接我去现场Davidspickingmeupoutfrontonthewaytothesc
26、ene.现场？什么现场？Thescene?Whatscene?你是说犯罪现场？Youmeanthecrimescene?身临其境有助于我的统计模式Exposuretoactualeventshelpsmystatisticalmodeling.我知道但我很担心你亲身去参加Iknow,butitstheexposurethatImworriedabout.要知道那有一个疯子还在向人们射击Comeon,theresacrazyguyouttherestillshootingpeople.要是在现场他枪口转向了你Nowwhatifhereturnstothesceneofthecrime,你知道就像
27、那些纵火犯？-他没有youknow,likethosearsonistsdo?-Hehasnt.不是暂时没有No,notyet.爸爸现场有一打FBI特工和警♥察♥Dad,thereareadozenFBIagentsandpoliceofficersatthesescenes.我是说如果真的有危险Imean,ifIwereinanyrealdanger,Don不会让我去的Donwouldntletmego.你知道的Youknowthat.别担心Dontworry.感觉像是什么人用锤子击中了我肩膀Feltlikesomeonehitmeintheshoulderwit
28、hahammer.然后Steve看见流血ThenStevesawtheblood,大家开始尖叫andeveryonestartedscreaming.你们都没看见从那里射来的？Neitheroneofyousawwheretheshotcamefrom?可曾看见一辆蓝色的小卡车？Doyourememberseeingabluepick-upatanypoint?对不起我.msorry,1.从剧院里出来的起码有20个人Theremusthavebeen50peoplecomingoutofthetheater.为什么是我？-没事了Whyme?-Itsokay.你会没事的Youregoingtob
29、eokay.谢谢你Thankyou.她说得对Shesright.为什么是她？Whyher?或许OSbOme只是到处走走MaybeOsbornesplayingoutapowertrip,随机挑选受害者choosinghisvictimsarbitrarily.或许是政♥治♥立场Maybeit,sapoliticalstatement.不是恐怖袭击与政♥治♥立场有关No,domesticterrorismusuallyinvolvesapublicstatement.目前为止他都没申明什么Hehasbeenconspicuouslysile
30、nt.是的但我认为他不会安静太久Yeah,Idon,tthinkhesgonnastaysilent.走吧Comeon.你在这儿教授Hellothere,Professor.还在分♥析♥角度？Stillfiguringtheangles?我在分♥析♥他为何会射失Whatmfiguringisthereasonwhyhemissed.这一枪比其它几次离得都近Thisshotiswaycloserthananyoftheothers.是的但近不一定简单Well,closerdoesn,tmeaneasier.被发现的危险要大得多Heranah
31、igherriskofbeingseenhere.但这并不影响射击本身是吗？Well,thatwouldntaffecttheshotitselfthough,wouldit?先别想着数学Forgetaboutthemathforasecond.过来看看Justlook.试着像他那样思考Trytothinklikehedoes.隐蔽是射手最大的优势Invisibilityisasnipersgreateststrength.如果他开始担心失去这个优势Ifhestartstoworryaboutlosingit,他的心跳会加快hisheartrateincreases.如果处理不好的话Ifhed
32、oesntknowhowtohandleit,心律会失控hisbreathingrhythmgetsthrownoff.心律？Breathingrhythm?你从未开过枪？Youvereallyneverfiredagun?我不信它们Idontreallybelieveinthem.相信它们？它们又不是魔鬼Believeinthem7Itsnotliketheyreghosts.我当然不是这个意思Obviously,thatsnotwhatImeant.这么说你不会考虑汗水流进眼睛或者是手在颤抖？Soyoudonttakeintoaccountsweatgettingintohiseyesor
33、hishandscrampinguporadrenalinetwitchingthebarrel?这就是一个专业射手和一个衣食不愁有人保护的人的区别Thatsthedifferencebetweenanexpertmarksmanandaguywhoaimsatwhitemeatandgoeshomewithawing.今天一个女士被射了.Awomangotshottoday.不是动物notsomeanimal.我知道了当我将它作为一个技术问题考虑时Isee.SowhenIregardherasatechnicalproblem,我就有点病态masickbastard,但当你把它放进方程式中时
34、butwhenyouplugherintoanequation,你就是个科学家了？youreascientist?对你来说这简直就是某种运动Itjustseemslikeitsallsomekindofsporttoyou.这就是我的工作从杀手的角度去思考Itsmyjobtoputmyheadinsidethemindofakiller.你哥哥也是Yourbrothers,too.来不来？Youcoming?射击的模式对目前的方程式没什么帮助Thepatternoftheseshootingsdoesntworkwithmyexistingequations.那就改变方程式你知道Sochang
35、etheequations.-Youknow,我开始想也许整个都错了mstartingtothinkmywholeapproachiswrong,好像计划就在那里liketheresadesignintheresomewhere但我们却找错了地方butnotusuallywherewelookforit.嗨Hey.Don刚找到OSbomeDonjustpickedupOsborne.哪里？-LosFelizWhere?-LosFeliz.武器呢？Whataboutaweapon?弹道测试表明他的枪是杀害邮差的那把Preliminaryballisticsmatcheshisrifletothe
36、mailmansslaying.但这次不是他-怎么了？Doesntfit,though.-What,swrong?Osborne在酒吧里待了一下午Osbornespenttheentireafternooninabar.十多个证人Adozenwitnesses.那不可能啊Well,that,snotpossible,因为这件事发生在不到三小时前becausethishappened,like,lessthanthreehoursago.除非OSbOrne不是射手UnlessOsborneisnttheshooter.我们有两个射手Wevegottwosnipers.我不承认联邦政&hearts
37、;府♥的政♥权♥1dontrecognizetheauthorityofthefederalgovernment.现在联邦政♥府♥承认你了Well,thefederalgovernmentsurerecognizesyou.我们能证明你谋杀MarkHerlanWehaveyoucoldforthemurderofMarkHerlan.弹道轮胎轨迹脚模Ballistics,tiretracks,footmolds.Herlan假装作文职实际上是联邦福利系统的走狗Herlanwasaslaveofthefederalwelfar
38、esystemdisguisedascivilservice.无论他发生了什么Whateverhappenedtohim,无论谁杀了他whoeverkilledhim,都是为民除害theyweredoingsocietyafavor.你的新女友已告诉我们了Thenewgirlfriendinyourtrailerfilledusin.你射杀Herlan因为他要娶你前妻YoushotHerlanbecausehewasabouttomarryyourex.不要.动Dont.move.这是私人恩怨Thiswasapersonalkillingforyou.你想报复Youwantedrevenge.
39、你知道你做得很聪明Youknowjtwasalmostclever.你在绿色闪电的朋友帮你一起YourbuddiesinGreenLightningstartaterrorcampaign,随机的射杀人们shootingpeopleatrandom.你做决定youdecidetopiggyback.你是说绿色闪电同这些射击有关？YouthinktheGreenLightningisbehindtheseshootings?当我们接手你的案子时Whenwestartbringingyourpalsin,对我们来说这是一个竞赛谁能尽快的破案Wethinkitsgonnabearacetoseewh
40、ocancutadealthefastest.Wayne你是第一个Yourefirstmanin,Wayne.我认为应当好好利用Myadvicewouldbetotakeadvantageofit.恐怖行为会被联邦判处死刑的Anactofterrorismcarriesafederaldeathpenalty.也许你没听说过TimothyMcVeighOrmaybeyouhaventheardofTimothyMcVeigh.你知道.你们这些人Youknow.youpeople.你们真是没话开说了youreallyhavetostarttalkingtoeachother.Osborne做AT
41、F的线人已经6个月了OsbornesbeenanATFinformantagainsthissupremacistbuddiesforoversixmonths.哦谢谢ATF告诉我们这些信息Well,thanks,ATF,fortheinformationsharing,还有我们的同谋理论andtheregoesourconspiracytheory.他有每次枪击案的不在场证明Healsohasanalibiforeveryothershooting.我去告诉CharlieIllgotellCharlie.我是说排出了OSbOme射击的可能性他也许会找到模型Imean,maybehecanfi
42、ndthepatternifhegetsridoftheOsborneshooting.你知道我今早的课几乎没有人来Youknow,Ihavehadalmostnoattendanceatmymorningclasses.好像人人都不敢出门Itslikeeveryonesafraidtosetfootoutside.不是每个人Noteverybody.是啊这种情况下Yeah.Intimeslikethese,空房♥子并不是家anemptyhouseisnotahome.考虑卜.我组成一个传统家庭的前景Evaluatingmyimmediateprospectsforaconven
43、tionalnuclearfamily,我开始考虑收养了Ivejustnowbeguntoconsideradoption.考虑多久了？-三天Howlonghaveyoubeenconsideringit?-Threedays.再多想几天Giveitafewmoredays.好的-好的Yeah.-Yeah.怎么样你找到模型了？Sowhat,youfoundapatternyet?不如说是无模型的模型Morelikeapatternofpatternlessness.嗨这是一个有趣的形而上的概念Hey,theresaninterestingmetaphysicalnotion.或许是混入了些人为
44、的因素Well,perhapsahumanelementremainstobeinserted.你说的好像嗯Yousoundlikethis,uh,Edgerton特工一样AgentEdgertonguy.他是Don从Quantico请来的射击教练.He,sasniperinstructorthatDonbroughtinfromQuantico.他认为我应该出去练练射击hethinksIshouldbeoutshootingrifles.是啊为什么不？Well,whyarentyou?我的闲暇很少It,sapoorallocationofmytime.有出去射几枪的时间Inthetimeit
45、takestoshootXnumberofrifles,我能处理10倍20倍甚至上百倍的数据Icanaccesstenor20orahundredtimesthatamountofdata.不不不不No,no,no,no.数据和亲身的实践theresdataandthereshands-onexperience.是不同的事情Thesearetwodifferentbeasts.所以你才有黑板和实验室Thatswhyyouvegotblackboardsandlaboratories.你研究宇宙Youstudytheuniverse,但也从没去过太空andyou,veneverbeentoouterspace.是的但如果我有机会Yeah,butifIhadtheopportunity,你觉得我会有片刻犹豫吗？doyouthinkforamomentdhesitate?从昨天的致命射击案以
