PitchBook-新兴的可持续投资机会:碳利用(英)-2023_市场营销策划_重点报告202301.docx

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1、rPitchBookPitchBook Data, Inc.John Gabbert Founder. CEONizar Tartiunl Vice President, Institutional Research and EditorialDaniel Cookz CFA Head of Quantitative ResearchInstitutional Research GroupAnalysis Anikka VillegasAnalyst. Fund Strategies & Sustainable Investinganikka. 5llegasInsights develope

2、d in collaboration with John MacDonaghl Senior Analyst Emerging Technologyat PitchBook Data.DataAlyssa WilliamsSenior Data AnalystpbinstitutionalrcsearchPublishingDesigned by Caroline SuttiePublished on December 11.2023ContentsKey takeawaysIIntroduction2Financial return potential3Environmental and s

3、ocial Impact7potentialEmergingSustainableInvestingOpportunities:CarbonUtilizationHowcarbonutilizationcancreateadoublebottomlineoffinancialreturnsandpositivesocialandenvironmentalImpactPitchBookisaMorningstarcompanyprovidingthemostcomprehensive,mostaccurate,andhard-to-finddataforprofessionalsdoingbus

4、inessintheprivatemarkets.KeytakeawaysAsusageofcarboncapturetechnologiescontinuestorise,thequestionofwhattodowithcapturedcarbonhasgrownmoreurgent,andcarbonutilizationispartoftheanswer.Thefinancialreturnpotentialofthisopportunityisdictatedinlargepartbycarboncapturesproliferation,governmentfundingandre

5、gulatorysupport,challengesfacedbyitsmainalternative,andcorporatesustainabilitycommitments.CarbonutilizationhasthepotentialtocreatepositiveenvironmentalImpactsbyenablingamoresustainablelifecycleforcapturedcarbon,providinglower-carbonsubstitutesfortraditionalproducts,andreducingrelianceonanalternative

6、thatpresentsenvironmentalrisksinadditiontosocialones,creatingaminorsocialImpactpotentialaswell.IntroductionVenturecapital,oftenservingastheincubatorofemergingtechnologies,iswellpositionedtoinvestwithpositivesocialandenvironmentalImpactgoalsinmind.VCscandrawontheirexpertiseandresourcestofosterthebusi

7、nessesthathavethegreatestpotentialforbothImpactandreturns,especiallywhenkeepinganeyetowardcompaniesforwhichsuccessnecessarilymarriesthetwo.ThisfacthasnotgoneunnoticedbyVCs1whichrepresent42.7%ofthetotalcountofImpactfundsraisedsince2007/Yet,thelandscapeofprospectiveopportunitiesisexpansiveandrapidlyev

8、olving,makingitdifficulttokeeptrackofwhichoneshavethegreatestfinancialandImpactreturnpotential.Emergingopportunitiesoftengobeyondtheinvestmentareastraditionallyassociatedwithsustainability,suchassolarenergyorelectricvehicles,encompassingahostoflesser-knowntechnologies.Evenwithinthefamiliarthemes,the

9、rearenicheinvestmentopportunitiesdeveloping.Inthisanalystnoteseries,wesurfaceopportunitiesacrossemergingtechnologyverticalssuchasagtech,mobilitytech,andcarbon&emissionstechthatWebelievearepoisedtoperformwellwithinthenextdecade,frombothfinancial-returnandImpact-returnperspectives.Indoingso,Wehopetohe

10、lpguideVCspursuingthe“doublebottomlinethroughthecomplexlandscapetothemostfruitfulopportunities.Foreachanalystnoteintheseries,insightsaredevelopedincollaborationwithaPitchBookEmergingTechnologyAnalystcoveringtherelevantvertical,usingtheirsubjectmatterexpertiseandpreviousresearch,aswellassomeexternalr

11、esources,toinformourperspectiveonthespace.Wediscusstheopportunitysmajordriversofreturnpotentialaswellastheinvestmentrisksandobstaclesitfaces.WealsoexploreitssocialandenvironmentalImpactpotential,howtheopportunityfitsintovariousIRIS+Impactthemes, For more Impact fundraising data, read our Q4 2022 Pit

12、ChBoOk AnM Note: knoact rwestinq UPdate The Impact Reporting and Investing Standards (1RJS+) frameworkz created by the Global Impact Investing Netwofk(GllN), Is an industryng etodoogy aling investors in sorting impact investments by the different types of Impact they are targeting. You can Ieam more

13、 abt the IRIS*Cdtegonesz what they mcludef and What they do not in RIS+ ThemauC TaxonomyGlobal Impact【nvesongandpotentialmetricstohelpquantifythoseImpacts.Ultimately,theaimofthisresearchistogiveVCsandtheirLPsabetterunderstandingofhowtheopportunitiesaligntotheirreturnandsustainabilitygoalsandprovidec

14、ompaniesoperatinginthesespacesasenseofhowtooptimizeandcommunicatetheirsocialandenvironmentalImpact.Thisanalystnotefocusesoncarbonutilization,whichencompassesawiderangeofdevelopingapproachestomakinguseofcapturedcarbondioxide(CO2)andisthemainalternativetocarbonsequestration.Historically,CO2waslargelyu

15、sedinureaproductionandenhancedoilrecovery,thelatterofwhichinvolvedpumpingCO?intooilfieldstoincreasetheextractionofoilandextendthelifetimeoftheoilfields. For more dete on carbon Utiization approaches, read our Ol 2023 PitChBoOk Anaz巾 Note:However,theendproductsofup-and-comingcarbon-utilizationcompani

16、esfitintothreemajorcategories:industrialchemicals,fuels,andconstructionmaterials.WithdecarbonizationnowamajorinvestmentthemeinbothPEandVC,carboncapturecapacityisgrowing,andthequestionofwhattodowithcarbononceithasbeentrappedismorepressing.Since2013,46VC-backedcompanieshaveenteredthecarbon-utilization

17、spacewith$1.1billionininvestment.CarbonutilizationVCdealactivitySource:PitchBookGeography:Global*AsofNovember22,2023FinancialreturnpotentialAtmosphericcarbondioxideistheprimarycontributortoanthropogenicglobalwarming,4; 3efvw Of Qeenouse GaSeSF US ErWOffnend PnXex Agency, OCr 10,2023.5: cQnate 6即Qe 2

18、022: Mqatn Of Qgte Chanqe/ IPCC 2022, accessed NOVenibef 29.2023. *C02 RemMaI IS ESsenti Aky0 With Emissions Cuts, S Lim GtobalWarnHppfJOf OXford, January 19, 2023.whichhasfar-reachingeffectsonthewelfareandcontinuityoftheenvironmentandsociety.Inordertohalt,letalonereverse,climatechange,itwillbeneces

19、sarytopreventcontinuedemissionsofcarbonintotheatmosphereinadditiontoremovingaportionofwhathasalreadybeenreleased.5,6Carboncapturetechnologiesareanimperfectsolutiontothesemonumentalproblems.Althoughtheyhaveawaystogotoreachtheefficiencylevelsnecessarytojustifywidespreadimplementation,therehasbeensigni

20、ficantinvestmentintheirdevelopmentanduse,withbroadsupportfromthefossilfuelsindustry,whichstandstobenefitenormouslyfromproofoftheirfeasibility.Asusageincreases,theneedforaplacetoputcapturedcarbonwillaswell,andcarbonutilizationcanhelpmeetthisneed,reapingtherewardsofheightenedandgrowingdemand.Despiteof

21、tenbeinggroupedasone,carboncapture,utilization,andstorage(CCUS)involvedifferenttechnologiesandbusinessmodels.CarboncaptureisthetechnologythattrapsCOi1eitherthroughpoint-sourcecaptureatthelocationofemissions,suchasanindustrialfacility,ordirectaircapturefromtheatmosphere. nWhat Is Carbon CaotUrg and S

22、tOraqe and How DoeS R V/ork? Qca CCS Institute, accessed NoveEber 29, 2023.Oncecarboniscaptured,thecapturermustfindsomethingtodowithit,andtherearetwooptions:carbonstorageorcarbonutilization.Thecapturercaneitherdotheseitselformorefrequentlyoutsourcetoanothercompany.Carbonstorageinvolvesthetransportat

23、ionofcarbontositeswhereitisinjectedintoundergroundrockformationsforpermanentstorage.Asthesesitesrequireacertaingeologyandeconomicviability,whichmaynotexistatornearthelocationofcapture,transportationcostscanbesubstantial.Themainsourceofrevenueforcarbon-storage-focusedcompaniesisthepaymenttheyreceivef

24、romcarboncapturerstotaketheircapturedcarbon,althoughgovernmentincentivessuchastaxcreditspermetrictonstoredcanalsoplayaroleinthebusinessmodel.Carbonutilization,whichinvolvescreatingandsellingproductsusingcapturedcarbon,oftenrequireslesscarbontransportation,asutilizerscanlocalizetheiroperationscloseto

25、thesourceofthecapturedcarbon.Themainrevenuesourceforcarbonutilizersisthesaleoftheirendproducts,butaswithcarbonstorage,governmentincentivesmayalsobeacomponent.Whilechargingcarboncapturersforcarbonofftakemaynotbetheprimaryrevenuesourceformanycarbon-utilizationbusinessestoday,thisdoesnotmeanthatitwilln

26、otbecomeamorecommonpracticeinthefuture.Itisalsoworthnotingthatcarbonutilizersmustcompetewithotherproducersofthesameorsimilarendproductsastheirs.Forexample,intheconstructionmaterialscategory,acement-producingcarbon-utilizationcompanymustcompetewithothercementproducers,carbon-utilizingornot.Similarly,

27、afuel-producingcarbon-utilizationcompanywillhavetocompetewithotherfuelproducers.Assuch,carbon-utilizationcompanieswithendproductsindifferentcategoriesexperiencevarying,market-specificreturndrivers.Thecompanieswiththestrongestreturnpotentialarethosethatcancompeteonpriceandqualityinadditiontobenefitin

28、gfromtheothertailwindsdiscussedinthisreportandpositivemarketdynamics.With more captured carbon, demand for carbon utilization and storage will increase, and carbon- utilization companies may be able to earn more through government incentives or by charging to take it off the capturer,s hands, positi

29、vely impacting the bottom line.Therearefourcentralfactorsinfluencingthereturnpotentialofthecarbon-utilizationspaceasawhole:carboncapture,sproliferation,governmentfundingandregulatorysupport,challengesfacedbyitsmainalternative,andcorporatesustainabilitycommitments.Onthefirstpoint,carboncaptureisonthe

30、rise.Atpresent,carboncaptureandremoval-relatedtechisresponsiblefor0.1%oftheroughly2billiontonsofCO?removedfromtheatmosphereeachyear. Guest Postrbe StalR d QlbOn Ooxide RefnOTar in SeVen SansJ CartxxiBUM hnuar 19,2023.9:中曲酒 CarbQn CaPtUre CaPc DUe S R& Sixfad bvBIoomberqNEE OCtQber 1& 2022.However,li

31、mitingglobaltemperatureincreasesto1.5to2.0degreesCelsiuswilllikelyrequiremoresubstantialimplementationofthesetechnologies.Usageisanticipatedtogrowdramaticallyinthecomingyears,potentiallysixfoldby2030?Withmorecapturedcarbon,demandforcarbonutilizationandstoragewillincrease,andcarbon-utilizationcompani

32、esmaybeabletoearnmorethroughgovernmentincentivesorbychargingtotakeitoffthecapturer,shands,positivelyimpactingthebottomline.Ofcourse,thecostofotherinputsinproductionwillalsoinfluenceprofitability,butascarbon-utilizationtechnologiesgrowmoresophisticatedandefficient,morecarbonwilllikelybeabletobeutiliz

33、edrelativetothecostsoftheseotherinputs,atleastforsometypesofcarbonutilization.Second,governmentfundingandregulatorysupportforCCUShasbeenrobustandexpanding.Thisfundingprovidesanedgeforcarbonutilizersincompetitionwithproducersofthesametypeofproductwithoutthecarbon-utilizationcomponent,asitcanallowutil

34、izerstochargelessfortheirproductorreinvestinoperationalimprovements.IntheUS,theInfrastructureInvestmentandJobsActallocated$12.0billiontoCCUStechnology, Mlnfrastnjcture and Jobs Ad: Carbon Capture, UHization and Storage Invest IE May 25, 2023.IkHnfefon Reduction Ad 2022: Sec. 13104 EXtefiSion and Mo1

35、“ OctOber 28f 2022. MTbe WOdd Has Vst Capacity to Store 82: Net Zero Means Wel Need IL EAr Raimund Malischek and Samaitha McCulloch. April lr 2021.Shouldtheseaspectschangeduetotechnologicaldevelopments,labormarketshifts,orsupplementalgovernmentsupport,theneedforcarbonutilizationmaydecrease.However,i

36、tisprobablethatbothcarbonstorageandcarbonutilizationwillbeneededtoaccommodatethelargeamountsofcarbonprojectedtobecapturedinthecomingyears.Regardless,carbonstoragewillnotbeviableforallgeographiesandlocations,andthelandinwhichitcanbestoredisalimitedresource.Rockmusthavesufficientporousspaceforliquefie

37、dcarbontobeinjected,buttoomanyvoids,suchascavernsorholes,increasethelikelihoodofaleak.Thefurtherthecarbonmustbetransportedtobestored,themoreexpensiveitis,andasthenumberofsuitablesitesbecomesmorelimited,itwillhavetobemovedgreaterdistances,increasingcosts.Althoughtheglobalpotentialcapacityforstoragefa

38、rexceedswhatisnecessarytoachievenetzero,6accessibilityandcommercialviabilitywillcreateconstraints.1.astly,corporatecommitmentstosustainabilityandthetransitiontonetzerohelppromotedemandfortheendproductsofcarbon-utilizationcompaniesandmayallowthemtochargeagreenpremium.Makingtheshifttoutilizingmoresust

39、ainableproductsisaconcretestepthatcompaniescantaketoreducenegativeenvironmentalimpact,aidingtheminavoidinggreenwashingclaims.Forexample,CaDtUredCarbonCanbeUSedtoCreateaviationfuel,providingalower-carbonenergysolutioninasectorthatisnotoriouslydifficulttodecarbonize.Airlinesutilizingthisfuelcanbrandar

40、oundthesustainabilityoftheiroperations,whichmayimprovetheirstandingamongpotentialpassengers,asconsumersincreasinglycareabouttheclimateimpactofthecompaniesfromwhichtheymaketheirpurchases.Theabilitytochargeagreenpremiumwillbepresentonlyforsomeproductsusedinsomeindustries,though,soitwillnotbenefitallty

41、pesofcarbonutilizationuniformly.Fromariskviewpoint,carbonutilizationhasafewvulnerabilities.First,itissubjecttopoliticalandregulatoryrisks,whichtakeseveralforms.Lossofgovernmentfundingorharshregulationofcarboncapturecouldconstrainthesupplyofcarbonfeedstocks,eliminatingamortailwindforthespace.Addition

42、ally,materiallydisproportionategovernmentsupportforcarbonstorageovercarbonutilization,thusimprovingthecostofcarbonstoragecomparedtoitsalternative,wouldlikelydrivedowndemandforcarbonutilization.Similarly,lossoffundingandregulatorysupportforcarbonutilizationwouldhaveanegativeimpactonreturnsinthespace,

43、12: “GoVemEentProVMeSaSpringboardtoUKCCUSIrMiUStryWith20BilionforEarDePloymenC/CCSArMyCh15,2023.13: GtobalCdrbOnCaPtUreandStOmge网由gs:ADr腐orBarrieftoCCSProtectDeVetoPmeNrNOrtOnROSeFufertghtzAktaIrBdeKelal”SePtember2023.14: ftZgOIndUStryArt:CaJSilEJUne12,2023.Given it possesses the approval of the fos

44、sil fuel industry, CCUS has more buy-in from conservatives than most other sustainability-related investments, and very few governments are taking an either-or,z approach when it comes to carbon utilization versus carbon storage.giventheaforementionedadvantagesitconfers.Theseoutcomesareunlikely,thou

45、gh.Givenitpossessestheapprovalofthefossilfuelindustry,CCUShasmorebuy-infromconservativesthanmostothersustainability-relatedinvestments,andveryfewgovernmentsaretakinganueither-orapproachwhenitcomestocarbonutilizationversuscarbonstorage.Italsobearsreiteratingthatcarbon-utilizationcompaniesproducingdifferentendproductsaresubjecttosomedistinctrisks,includingregulatoryones.Forexample,whilesomeconstructionmaterialssuchasconcretearethoughttobenefitfromtheinjectionofcarbonduringthemixingprocess,creatingatheoreticallystrongerproduct,thesetypesofmaterialsaresubjecttogreaterregulatoryscr

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